Monday

The Economics of Happiness

A late December article from The Economist reports that levels of happiness (according to national surveys) has remained more or less fixed over the last 50 years, even as the "richness" of most relatively affluent nations has shot up. What are some mechanisms that would leave, say, an upper-middle-class white American male in 2007 no happier than an upper-middle-class white American male in 1957, even though our guy today is considerably wealthier than his counterpart in the '50s?

There are two recurring explanations in the article that are worth considering. First, the habit argument: "People grow accustomed to what they have--however much of it there is." Just because the 2007 guy can spend circles around his counterpart from yesteryear, happiness simply isn't measured by gross tonnage of stuff you own. Today's luxuries can become tomorrow's necessities, so having the hot new thing isn't likely to sustain your joy. As mentioned in my previous post, this is a fundamental criticism of commodity culture: if we look to purchases to make us happy, they'll only break our hearts.

Second, and related to the habit issue, there is the problem of "positional goods", an economic term for goods that are valuable when you have them and others don't. It may be that having a fancy car is less important than having a fancier car; if everyone gets the same amount richer (for the moment, forget that we know this isn't the case) and can afford better cars, you might be no happier than you were before, since back then you had a better-than-average car and today your (more expensive and capable) car is still simply better than average. A better example is in schools: if you or your future employer value a Harvard degree, going to a good high school might be less important than going to a top high school. Even if many good schools are better today than they were in the '50s, there are still only a few that can call themselves "top".

What you may see, then, is a type of inflation in the world of wealth. If everyone makes huge sacrifices at work in order to stand out from their colleagues, then the bar is raised and the standout employees much work that much harder to maintain their edge. If many parents push their kids to be dreamy college candidates, the top candidates must look that much better. The overall improvement in worker or student quality (an increase in wealth, really) might not translate into much happiness if happiness is measured through competition with peers, just as the overall improvement in technology or other goods might not translate into much happiness if happiness is measured through the owning of cool new toys.

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Anonymous terrifyingsockpuppet said...

A couple of considerations, perhaps. 1) Inflation adjusted wages have--I'm told--remained static for 30 years now. So a great many people aren't better off, at least not better off than 1976 American Man. 2) There has been a disparity the past several years between what people have to say about the economy and how the stock market and other economic indicators have suggested. People think the economy sucks, but the numbers say it's quite strong. One suggestion has been the increasingly provisional nature of employment. Job security has eroded drastically--again, I'm told, having no data of any kind to back this up--and the absence of security may impact how 'happy' one feels. --Alex

April 16, 2007  
Blogger Burke Scarbrough said...

Interesting points, both. My understanding about inflation-adjusted wages is that the seeming stability over decades masks, not surprisingly, major disparities between the better-off and the worse-off. Education is one of the most consistent determinants: a college degree earns one much more than it did (adjusted for inflation), and there are many more people who have them, but a high school degree or less leaves people much worse off than it used to. Though the article didn't say that it disaggregated by such factors, they claim that those who ARE better off than their historical counterparts are nonetheless no happier on average. They also mentioned Japan as an example of an economy where there has been a more consistent rise in wealth across the board, but not an increase in happiness.

Lastly on that point, inflation-adjusted prices for a number of goods have fallen over 50 years, which would increase the purchasing power of an income that hasn't changed over the same period. That is, income is only part of wealth.

As for your other thought, job security as an "intangible" factor in happiness self-assessments makes sense to me. My father has also argued that there's evidence that people measure their success (and, perhaps, happiness) against their expectations for themselves. That is, whether or not a person will make more money than his historical counterpart matters less than how he compares to his expectations for himself over the course of his life. Like the "habit" and positionality arguments in my post, self-expectations can experience the "rising tide" effect, adjusting the bar for whatever economic conditions one finds oneself in. And one thing that's increasingly, depressingly clear is that social mobility (perhaps one measure of how well one meets or exceeds one's hopes for oneself) is harder and harder to find anymore.

April 16, 2007  
Blogger Happiness said...

Many thanks for an interestinq question and posting!

Wealth buys freedom from some worries... good food, nice shelter, adequate healthcare.

Past that, MANY studies show money does NOT significantly increase happiness. You can certainly have a great deal and still worry about being over extended.

Happiness and success are two very different things. Many people chase after success thinking it will bring them happiness and they are often disappointed. There are lots of very successful people who are NOT especially happy.

Happiness skills are very different. There are simple, eternal, universal truths that lead to happy, spiritually successful lives.

If we embrace and adopt these values, beliefs, ideals, strategies and boundaries we all can be happy or at least happier.

They're very simple steps like "Avoid the Fault Finding Feel Goods" and "Avoid All Unnecessary, Non- Productive Negativity, Be Guided by Goodness, Fuel Your Life and Your Work With Fun, Try to Be Your Best, Do Your Best and Feel Your Best All of the Time."

We can learn to "Choose our Moods and our Attitudes, Drive our Discipline with Desire," and realize that "Love Powers Happiness, Spiritual Success and Performance Excellence." "The Best Way to Excel at Anything is to Cultivate a Love for It."

These are just some of the simple, powerful things we can do to be happier.

Anyone who has visited a third world country and seen genuine joy and happiness beaming from people with little materially understands the silliness of thinking happiness comes from economic prosperity. It comes more from cultures that love, appreciate and enjoy everything around them.

Habitually happy people assess reality accurately, make wise decisions, power their decisions with desire and lots of positive expectations.

They decide what they are going to do and they find ways to make whatever they do enjoyable and rewarding for everyone involved.

When you try to enjoy and make the most of each moment, amazing things happen.

Habitually happy people try to be happy all of the time, and so do I!

Michele Moore, author of Happiness Blog http://HappinessBlog.com,
and "How To Live A Happy Life - 101 Ways To Be Happier"
www.HappinessHabit.com

April 16, 2007  
Anonymous John Scarbrough said...

Per-capita real income has increased significantly since the 1940s, while average real wages have not. This is due in large part to the increase in the participation of women in the workforce. That increase in workers increases total income, without increasing the population. Hence, per-capita income increases. However, since the number of workers has been increased by the additional female workers, average earnings "per worker" would not be pushed up by this. How might these facts impact an evaluation of happpiness measures over that time period?

April 17, 2007  

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"Must Schools Fail?"

Richard Rothstein's 2004 article in the New York Review of Books takes on several recent books examining the famous achievement gap between white and black students. Three recurring questions frame these studies:

  1. Where should one lay the blame for these differences (schools, families, and wider society being the usual suspects.)
  2. To what extent is the achievement gap a race-defined gap, and to what extent is it a gap between rich and poor?
  3. Given answers to 1 and 2, what is to be done?

While the essay does put forth several researchers' answers to #3, my interest tonight is more in the first two questions, so it will be data relevant to those that I reproduce below. No firm answers are forthcoming here, and the below is a somewhat rough assemblage of data, to be sure. But taken as a whole, they help to sketch out some of the challenges in the schooling, family life, and careers awaiting quite a few young Americans based on the skins and income levels they are born into.

(The following is a series of direct quotes)

Race-Specific Differences in Education and the Workforce

  • Only a minority of Americans, black or white, are college graduates (18 percent of blacks and 34 percent of whites in their late twenties have college degrees).
  • Male black workers with only high school educations earn on average 79 percent of what similarly educated whites do. If only high school graduates with similar test scores are compared, then black wages are 87 percent of white wages. These figures, however, understate the difference in annual earnings between white and black high school graduates because black high school graduates work fewer annual hours and annual weeks than do white high school graduates.
  • In the early 1990s, teams sponsored by the Urban Institute in Chicago and in Washington, D.C., trained applicants for jobs with nearly identical résumés to present themselves in the same way in their interviews. Black males were three times as likely to be rejected as white males. A recent study found that whites' applications were more successful than blacks' even when the whites had criminal records and the otherwise identical blacks did not.
  • Black median family income is now 62 percent of white income, up a little from 58 percent thirty years ago. But . . . the median net worth of black families is still only 8 percent of whites'. Part of the reason for this difference is that government and private lenders have discouraged or prohibited black families from buying homes in suburban communities where values have appreciated in the decades after World War II. Part of the reason, too, is that black middle-class adults are more likely than whites to be the first generation in their families to have risen to the middle class; many have low-income parents and other close relatives to help support, making it more difficult for them to save money.
  • Familiar claims about black students [found accurate by the authors under review]: They put pressure on one another not to "act white" by doing well in school. They do not work as hard in school as white students from economically similar families. Black students watch TV and socialize with friends more than whites do. More black students than whites come to class unprepared and are more disruptive. Black students spend much more time at after-school jobs. Many think grades are unimportant because they can go to college on athletic scholarships. When given the opportunity to take more academically challenging courses in high school, they frequently decline. Moreover, black parents supervise homework less frequently than white parents do, while black adolescents are exposed daily to skepticism about white-controlled institutions, such as schools. Black students also accept conventional notions that they have less academic ability and make less effort as a result.
  • No one can say how much of the gap in academic achievement between blacks and whites is caused by racially neutral class differences, how much is attributable to black culture, and how much of that cultural difference is itself a defensive reaction to continuing discrimination. The Thernstroms write that poverty (defined by current income), parents with little education, and residence in poor neighborhoods explain only about a third of the gap.

Class-Specific Differences in Early Childhood Development
Middle-class children today are encouraged from an early age to negotiate with their parents over what to wear or eat, to question adult statements if they seem implausible, and to interact with adults as equals. Money tends to be less frequently discussed in middle-class families, so it less frequently occurs to middle-class children that their ambitions might be blocked by a shortage of resources.

Working-class children have no such sense of entitlement. Most of them, black and white, speak to adults only when spoken to; they are not expected to express opinions that challenge what adults say. Money or lack of it is a frequent topic of conversation at home, and children become aware early of the limits to their futures.

Middle-class parents were more likely to encourage children to figure out problems for themselves; working-class parents were more likely to tell them what to do. Lareau's middle- and working-class parents both encouraged their children to read, and parents from both classes read aloud to their children when they were young; but middle-class parents were more likely to read themselves, thus showing the importance of reading by their own behavior. Moreover, Lareau's middle-class parents more frequently intervened in schools when they felt it in their children's interest to do so.

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Meritocracy & Social Class

Two articles from The Economist, one a 2004 piece entitled "Ever Higher Society, Ever Harder to Ascend" and the other a 2005 piece called "Middle of the Class", lay out some of the data available on social mobility and education in America. Below are a series of relevant quotes pulled from both articles:

A Gleam of Apparent Good News

Americans' average salaries have risen over the past 30 years, though admittedly not by much. A far smaller share of the population lives in poverty now than in the supposedly golden age of equality in the 1950s (12% compared with 22%). Moreover, a surge of immigrants on minimum wages tends to bring down the average: home-grown Americans are probably better off than the figures suggest. The rich have not got richer at the expense of the poor. The rising tide has lifted dinghies as well as yachts.

On a Widening Gap Between Rich and Poor
  • Between 1979 and 2000 the real income of households in the lowest fifth (the bottom 20% of earners) grew by 6.4%, while that of households in the top fifth grew by 70%.
  • The family income of the top 1% grew by 184%—and that of the top 0.1% or 0.01% grew even faster.
  • Back in 1979 the average income of the top 1% was 133 times that of the bottom 20%; by 2000 the income of the top 1% had risen to 189 times that of the bottom fifth.
  • In 2001 the top 1% of households earned 20% of all income and held 33.4% of all net worth. Not since pre-Depression days has the top 1% taken such a big whack.

On Social Mobility, or Lack thereof
Take the study carried out by Thomas Hertz, an economist at American University in Washington, DC, who studied a representative sample of 6,273 American families (both black and white) over 32 years or two generations.

  • 42% of those born into the poorest fifth ended up where they started—at the bottom. Another 24% moved up slightly to the next-to-bottom group. Only 6% made it to the top fifth.
  • On the other hand, 37% of those born into the top fifth remained there, whereas barely 7% of those born into the top 20% ended up in the bottom fifth. A person born into the top fifth is over five times as likely to end up at the top as a person born into the bottom fifth.
  • There is also growing evidence that America is less socially mobile than many other rich countries.

Results from other studies/research:

  • The years from 1880 to 1960 were a period of great corporate behemoths. These produced a new class of Americans—professional managers. They built elaborate internal hierarchies, and also accepted their responsibilities to both their workers and their local communities. But since the 1970s the pressure of competition has forced these behemoths to become much leaner—to reduce their layers, contract out some activities, and shift from full-time to part-time employees. It has became harder for people to start at the bottom and rise up the company hierarchy by dint of hard work and self-improvement. And it has also become harder for managers to keep their jobs in a single company.
  • If you are among the poorest 5% of the population, your chances
    of achieving an average income are only one in six. If you are among the poorest 1%, they become very dim indeed.

The Role of Schools

  • Over the past 25 years, globalisation has increased rewards for intellectual skills, pushing up the value of a degree. The income gap between college graduates and those without university degrees doubled between 1979 and 1997.
  • The education system is increasingly stratified by social class, and poor children have a double disadvantage. They attend schools with fewer resources than those of their richer contemporaries (school finances are largely determined by local property taxes). And they have to deal with the legacy of what Michael Barone, a conservative commentator, has labelled “soft America”. Soft America is allergic to introducing accountability and measurement in education, particularly if it takes the form of merit pay for successful teachers or rewards for outstanding pupils.
  • Three-quarters of the students at the country's top 146 colleges come from the richest socioeconomic fourth, compared with just 3% who come from the poorest fourth (the median family income at Harvard, for example, is $150,000). This means that, at an elite university, you are 25 times as likely to run into a rich student as a poor one.
  • In most Ivy League institutions, the eight supposedly most select universities of the north-east, “legacies” make up between 10% and 15% of every class. At Harvard they are over three times more likely to be admitted than others. The students in America's places of higher education are increasingly becoming an oligarchy tempered by racial preferences.
  • The budget squeeze on states in 2001-04 forced them to increase fees at state colleges, traditionally the places where the children of less wealthy parents went. Those children also face increasing competition from richer kids squeezed out of the Ivy League. As a result, a student from the top income quarter is six times more likely to get a BA than someone from the bottom quarter.
  • College graduates tend to marry college graduates. Both go out to work, so in the households of the most educated the returns to a university education are doubled. College-educated women are also postponing children for the sake of their careers. On average, they have their first child at 30, five years later than in the 1970s and eight years later than their contemporaries who have not been to college. At the bottom of the heap, you see the opposite: women have children younger, often out of wedlock and without a job.

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"What Should a Billionaire Give - and What Should You?"

Here are some of the intriguing turns of Peter Singer's argument in his December 17 New York Times Magazine piece on philanthropy.

Reasons to Give
According to UNICEF, 30,000 children on average die each day from avpoidable, poverty-related causes worldwide.

According to the Global Forum for Health Research, less than 10% of the world's health research budget is spent combatting conditions that account for 90% of the global burden of disease.

"The Millennium Development Goals, set by the United Nations Millennium Summit in 2000, include:

  • Reducing by half the proportion of the world's people in extreme poverty (defined as living on less than the purchasing-power equivalent of one U.S. dollar per day).
  • Reducing by half the proportion of people who suffer from hunger.
  • Ensuring that children everywhere are able to take a full course of primary schooling.
  • Ending sex disparity in education.
  • Reducing by two-thirds the mortality rate among children under 5.
  • Reducing by three-quarters the rate of maternal mortality.
  • Halting and beginning to reverse the spread of H.I.V./AIDS and halting and beginning to reduce the incidence of malaria and other major diseases.
  • Reducing by half the proportion of people without sustainable access to safe drinking water.

Last year a United Nations task force, led by the Columbia University economist JeffreySachs, estimated the annual cost of meeting these goals to be $121 billion in 2006,rising to $189 billion by 2015. When we take account of existing official development aidpromises, the additional amount needed each year to meet the goals is only $48 billionfor 2006 and $74 billion for 2015."

Warren Buffett has acknowledged that society is responsible for much of his wealth. ''If you stick me down in the middle of Bangladesh or Peru,'' he said, ''you'll find out how much this talent is going to produce in the wrong kind of soil."

"The Nobel Prize-winning economist and social scientist Herbert Simon estimated that 'social capital' is responsible for at least 90 percent of what people earn in wealthy societies like those of the United States or northwestern Europe. By social capital Simon meant not only natural resources but, more important, the technology and organizational skills in the community, and the presence of good government. These are the foundation on which the rich can begin their work. 'On moral grounds,' Simon added, 'we could argue for a flat income tax of 90 percent.''"


The Moral Question
"Gates may have given away nearly $30 billion, but that still leaves him sitting at the top of the Forbes list of the richest Americans, with $53 billion. Gates compares very well with most of the other people on the Forbes 400 list, including his former colleague and Microsoft co-founder, Paul Allen. Allen, who left the company in 1983, has given, over his lifetime, more than $800 million to philanthropic causes. That is far more than nearly any of us will ever be able to give. But Forbes lists Allen as the fifth-richest American, with a net worth of $16 billion. Is there a line of moral adequacy that falls between the 5 percent that Allen has given away and the roughly 35 percent that Gates has donated?"


A Possible Answer
  • The 14,400 people who make up the richest .01% of taxpayers earn an average of $12,775,000 (totaling $184 billion), with a minimum income of $5,000,000. If each gave away a third of his annual income, the contributions from this group would total $61 billion.
  • The 129,000 taxpayers who make up the rest of the richest .1% average $2,000,000 and make at least $1,100,000. If they gave 25% of their income yearly, they'd contribute $65 billion.
  • The 575,900 taxpayers who make up the rest of the richest .5% average $623,000 per year and make at least $407,000. Giving one fifth of their income would total $72 billion.
  • The 719,900 taxpayers who make up the rest of the richest 1% average $327,000 per year and make at least $276,000. Giving away 15% of their yearly income would yield $35 billion.
  • The 13 million taxpayers who make up the rest of the richest 10% average $132,000 and make at least $92,000. Giving 10% of their income would yield $171 billion yearly.
If the US used this calculation, and it were applied worldwide such that even half the global giving came from outside the US, the world would still raise $808 billion annually, more than 16 times what the Sachs task force estimated was needed to fill the gap in funding the Millenium Development goals.

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